# RE: BAYES method and initial estimate bounds

From: Bauer, Robert <Robert.Bauer>
Date: Tue, 22 Dec 2015 17:40:56 +0000

Bill:
I just tested this on a simple script (see below), and the boundaries are imposed in BAYES analysis for me.

\$PROB RUN# Example 1 (from samp5l)
\$INPUT C SET ID JID TIME DV=CONC AMT=DOSE RATE EVID MDV CMT CLX V1X QX V2X SDIX SDSX
\$DATA example1.csv IGNORE=C
\$PK
MU_1=THETA(1)
MU_2=THETA(2)
MU_3=THETA(3)
MU_4=THETA(4)
IF (THETA(1)<1.63.OR.THETA(1)>1.8) WRITE(50,*) THETA(1)
CL=DEXP(THETA(1)+ETA(1))
V1=DEXP(THETA(2)+ETA(2))
Q=DEXP(MU_3+ETA(3))
V2=DEXP(MU_4+ETA(4))
S1=V1
\$ERROR
Y = F + F*EPS(1)
\$THETA (1.63, 1.67,1.8) 2.0 2.0 2.0
\$OMEGA BLOCK(4) VALUES(0.15,0.01)
\$SIGMA (0.6 )
\$PRIOR NWPRI
\$THETAP (2.0 FIX) (2.0 FIX) (2.0 FIX) (2.0 FIX)
\$THETAPV BLOCK(4) FIX VALUES(10000,0.0)
\$OMEGAP BLOCK(4) FIX VALUES(0.2,0.0)
\$OMEGAPD (4 FIX)
\$EST METHOD=BAYES INTERACTION NITER=1000 PRINT=100 CTYPE=3
\$COV MATRIX=R PRINT=E UNCONDITIONAL

Robert J. Bauer, Ph.D.
Vice President, Pharmacometrics R&D
ICON Early Phase
Office: (215) 616-6428
Mobile: (925) 286-0769
Robert.Bauer
www.iconplc.com<http://www.iconplc.com>

From: owner-nmusers
Sent: Tuesday, December 22, 2015 8:14 AM
To: nmusers
Subject: [NMusers] BAYES method and initial estimate bounds

Hi all,

If bounds are specified in the \$THETA statements for initial estimates, what, if any, effect do they have when the BAYES method is used?

I initially thought they might work in conjunction with the prior specifications to implement truncated priors. However that does not seem to be true because statements like "IF(ABS(THETA(1)) > 10) EXIT 1 14" sometimes get tripped even when THETA(1) is bounded between -10 and 10 in the \$THETA statement.

Happy Holidays,
Bill
<br /><br />
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Received on Tue Dec 22 2015 - 12:40:56 EST

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